# 1. Pedigree-based Evaluations

#### Robin Wellmann

#### 2020-03-12

Animal breeding relies on the prediction of breeding values of selection candidates and subsequent selection of animals for breeding in a way that restricts the rate of inbreeeding and maintains genetic originality of the breed. The methods of choice are the utilization of pedigree data, of genetic marker data, or a combination of both. This section covers the following evaluations based on pedigree data:

- Data Preparation
  - Pedigrees (includes plotting)
- Quality Control
  - Pedigree Completeness
  - Number of Equivalent Complete Generations
  - Number of Fully Traced Generations
  - Number of Maximum Generations Traced
  - Index of Pedigree Completeness
- Individual Specific Parameters
  - Inbreeding Coefficients
  - Breed Composition
  - Kinship
  - Kinship at Native Alleles
- Population Specific Parameters
  - Genetic Diversity
  - Kinship and Diversity at Native Alleles
  - Native Effective Size
  - Effective Size
  - Change of Native Genome Equivalent and Ne
  - Change of Breed Compostion

Note that the calculation of breeding values is not included as there already exist a couple of R packages for this purpose. Recommended are the free package MCMCglmm for small and medium sized data sets, and package asreml for large data sets.

## Data Preparation

A pedigree is a data frame or data table with the first three columns being the individual ID, the sire ID, and the dam ID. Depending on the intended evaluation, the pedigree may also provide the names of the breeds (column `Breed`), the years of birth or generation numbers (column `Born` ), and the sexes (column `Sex`). A toy example of a pedigree may look like this:

    Pedigree <- data.frame(
      Indiv= c("Iffes",     "Peter",    "Anna-Lena", "Kevin",    "Horst"),
      Sire = c("Kevin",     "Kevin",     NA,          0,         "Horst"),
      Dam  = c("Chantalle", "Angelika", "Chantalle", "",           NA),
      Breed= c("Angler",    "Angler",   "Angler",    "Holstein", "Angler"),
      Born = c(2015,        2016,       2011,       2010,        2015)
      )
    Pedigree

    ##       Indiv  Sire       Dam    Breed Born
    ## 1     Iffes Kevin Chantalle   Angler 2015
    ## 2     Peter Kevin  Angelika   Angler 2016
    ## 3 Anna-Lena  <NA> Chantalle   Angler 2011
    ## 4     Kevin     0           Holstein 2010
    ## 5     Horst Horst      <NA>   Angler 2015

Individual IDs must be unique and should not contain blank spaces. The above pedigree contains a loop, so it is not a valid pedigree (Horst is an ancestor of himself). Function prePed will prepare the pedigree and turn it into a valid one. The function

- renames the first three columns as `Indiv`, `Sire`, `Dam` (if needed),
- replaces 0, "“, and” " in columns `Sire` and `Dam` by `NA`,
- breaks loops and reports which animal was included in a loop,
- adds or updates column `Sex`. Sexes will be denoted as `male` and `female`.
- adds one row for each founder if the row is not already included,
- sorts the pedigree such that individuals appear in the pedigree before they appear as parent,
- guesses the breed name of animals with missing breeds (including added founders),
- adds columns `numIndiv`, `numSire`, and `numDam` with numeric IDs of the individuals (if `addNum=TRUE` is specified),
- sets the breed name of founders from `thisBreed` that are born after `lastNative` to unknown (if these parameters are specified).

    library("optiSel")
    Pedig <- prePed(Pedigree)

    ## Pedigree loops were detected. We recommend to correct them manually before
    ## using prePed(). The parents of the following individuals are set to unknown
    ## to remove the loops.
    ##        Sire  Dam
    ## Horst Horst <NA>

The result is:

    Pedig[,-1]

    ##            Sire       Dam    Sex          Breed Born   I Offspring
    ## Chantalle  <NA>      <NA> female         Angler   NA  NA      TRUE
    ## Angelika   <NA>      <NA> female         Angler   NA  NA      TRUE
    ## Kevin      <NA>      <NA>   male       Holstein 2010 NaN      TRUE
    ## Horst      <NA>      <NA>   <NA> Pedigree Error 2015 NaN     FALSE
    ## Anna-Lena  <NA> Chantalle   <NA>         Angler 2011 NaN     FALSE
    ## Iffes     Kevin Chantalle   <NA>         Angler 2015   5     FALSE
    ## Peter     Kevin  Angelika   <NA>         Angler 2016   6     FALSE

Plots can be created to show specified individuals and their relatives. In the first step, function subPed is used below to create a small pedigree that includes only the individuals to be plotted, which are `"Chantalle"` and `"Angelika"`, up to `prevGen` previous (ancestral) generations, and up to `succGen` succeeding (descendant) generations. The pedigree was plotted with function pedplot. It is basically a wrapper function for function `plot.pedigree` from package `kinship2`, but has additional arguments. Parameter `label` contains the columns of the pedigree to be used for labeling. By default, symbols of individuals included in vector `keep` are plotted in black and for individuals from other breeds the symbol is crossed out.

    sPed <- subPed(Pedig, keep = c("Chantalle","Angelika"), prevGen = 2, succGen = 1)
    pedplot(sPed, label = c("Indiv", "Born", "Breed"), cex = 0.55)

Hereby, `SAnna-Lena` denotes the unknown sire of `Anna-Lena`.

## Quality Control

The next step is to find out if the completeness of the pedigree is sufficient for the intended evaluation, and to identify individuals with sufficient pedigree information. This will be demonstrated at the example of a pedigree of Hinterwald cattle. Data frame `Phen` contains selection candidates with breeding values in column `BV`, and data frame `PedigWithErrors` contains their pedigree. The column with individual IDs is called `Indiv` in both data sets.

    data("PedigWithErrors")
    data("Phen")
    Pedig <- prePed(PedigWithErrors)

Function completeness can be used to determine the proportion of known ancestors of each specified individual in each ancestral generation:

    compl <- completeness(Pedig, keep=Phen$Indiv, by="Indiv")
    head(compl)

    ##               Indiv Generation Completeness
    ## 277 276000891901739          0          1.0
    ## 278 276000891901739          1          0.5
    ## 289 276000891471209          0          1.0
    ## 290 276000891471209          1          0.5
    ## 293 276000891862755          0          1.0
    ## 294 276000891862755          1          0.5

or the mean completeness of the pedigrees of specified individuals within sexes:

    compl <- completeness(Pedig, keep=Phen$Indiv, by="Sex")
    library("ggplot2")
    ggplot(compl, aes(x=Generation, y=Completeness, col=Sex)) + geom_line()

The completeness of the pedigree of each individual can be summarized with function summary:

    Summary <- summary(Pedig, keep.only=Phen$Indiv)
    head(Summary[Summary$equiGen>3.0, -1])

    ##                  equiGen fullGen maxGen       PCI  Inbreeding
    ## 276000812496744 6.032959       3     12 0.9677419 0.008903503
    ## 276000891862786 6.565186       3     12 0.9677419 0.013700247
    ## 276000812202159 5.789307       1     12 0.7692308 0.027274609
    ## 276000812749837 4.419678       2     12 0.8333333 0.005828857
    ## 276000891618444 4.234375       1     12 0.5454545 0.000000000
    ## 276000812922523 5.575928       2     12 0.8333333 0.003438234

The following parameters were computed for each individual:

`equiGen`
  Number of equivalent complete generations, defined as the sum of the proportion of known ancestors over all generations traced,
`fullGen`
  Number of fully traced generations,
`maxGen`
  Number of maximum generations traced,
`PCI`
  Index of pedigree completeness, which is the harmonic mean of the pedigree completenesses of the parents (MacCluer et al, 1983),
`Inbreeding`
  Inbreeding coefficient.

The best possibility to characterize completeness of pedigree information by a single value is the number of equivalent complete generations, averaged over all individuals of the actual breeding population which were included in the evaluations.

The relevant parameter to identify individuals with insufficient pedigree information to estimate inbreeding, however, is the `PCI`. This is because inbreeding can be detected only if both maternal and paternal ancestries are known. The harmonic mean ensures that the less complete paternal pedigree is weighted more heavily, so the `PCI` equals zero when either parent is unkown. Inbreeding coefficients can be valid despite small `PCI`s if the most recent founders were indeed unrelated, e.g. because they were from other breeds.

Note that inbreeding coefficients can be computed faster with function pedInbreeding.

### Individual Specific Parameters

#### Inbreeding Coefficients

The inbreeding coefficient of an individual is the probability that two alleles chosen at random from the maternal and paternal haplotypes are identically by descent (IBD). This parameter estimates the extent to which the individual may suffer from inbreeding depression and predicts the homogeneity of its offspring. It can be calculated with

    Animal <- pedInbreeding(Pedig)
    mean(Animal$Inbr[Animal$Indiv %in% Phen$Indiv])

    ## [1] 0.01943394

Whether mating to a sound inbred individual should be favored or avoided depends on whether the breeder wishes offspring with uniform or heterogeneous breeding values. More important than the inbreeding coefficient of an animal itself, however, is the expected inbreeding coefficient of the offspring, which should be low. The expected inbreeding coefficient of the offspring is equal to the kinship of the parents.

#### Kinship

The kinship between two individuals is the probability that two alleles randomly chosen from both individuals are IBD. A matrix containing the kinship between all pairs of individuals can be computed with function pedIBD. It is half the numerator relationship matrix. The R code below computes the kinship between the female with ID `276000812750188` and all male selection candidates that have a breeding value larger than 1.0 and a pedigree with at least 5 equivalent complete generations.

    pKin   <- pedIBD(Pedig, keep.only=Phen$Indiv)
    isMale <- Pedig$Sex=="male" & (Pedig$Indiv %in% Phen$Indiv[Phen$BV>1.0])
    males  <- Pedig$Indiv[isMale & summary(Pedig)$equiGen>5]
    pKin[males, "276000812750188", drop=FALSE]

    ##                 276000812750188
    ## 276000811902819      0.28955731
    ## 276000812749676      0.06626139
    ## 276000812750190      0.18099209
    ## 276000812689003      0.03807358
    ## 276000813155662      0.17488755
    ## 276000812688988      0.16645344
    ## 276000812771544      0.01719556

The males with lowest kinship should be favoured for mating.

#### Breed Composition

Mating decisions should not only depend on the breeding value of the male and the kinship between male and female, but also on the native contribution of the male. Many endangered breeds have been graded up with commercial high-yielding breeds. These increasing contributions from other breeds displace the original genetic background of the endangered breed, decrease the genetic contribution from native ancestors, and reduce the conservation value of the breed.

For computing the breed composition of individuals it should be taken into account that the breed name of founders born recently is in fact unkown even if they have been classified as purebred. Hence, for these individuals, the breed name should be changed to `"unknown"`. Below, the breed name of founders born after 1970 is changed to `"unknown"` if they had been classified as Hinterwald cattle. Thereafter, function pedBreedComp was used to estimate the contribution of each individual from each foreign breed and from native founders. The contribution an individual has from native founders is called the native contribution NC of the individual. Finally, column `NC` containing the native contributions was added to the pedigree.

    Pedig <- prePed(PedigWithErrors, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder", lastNative=1970)

    cont  <- pedBreedComp(Pedig, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder")
    Pedig$NC <- cont$native
    head(cont[rev(Phen$Indiv), 2:6])

    ##                    native    unknown     unbek0  Fleckvieh Vorderwaelder
    ## 276000812749835 0.6096039 0.09570312 0.03677368 0.11021423    0.14770508
    ## 276000812749569 0.5945129 0.14160156 0.04071045 0.11599731    0.10717773
    ## 276000891724277 0.0000000 0.50000000 0.50000000 0.00000000    0.00000000
    ## 276000891920412 0.5501404 0.12109375 0.03527832 0.10354614    0.18994141
    ## 276000812496874 0.3734741 0.41601562 0.03430176 0.08294678    0.09326172
    ## 276000811287745 0.5804138 0.09765625 0.03259277 0.08963013    0.19970703

The columns are ordered so that the most influential foreign breeds come first. It can be seen that the contribution from native founders varies considerably between individuals. Individuals with high genetic contribution from native founders should be favored for mating provided that the kinship between male and female is sufficiently low.

#### Kinship at Native Alleles

Since animals with high native contributions tend to be related, the inbreeding level could increase considerably when introgressed genetic material is removed from the population. This could be avoided by restricting the incease in kinship at native alleles in the population. The kinship at native alleles is also called the native kinship. An R-Object containing the information needed to estimate native kinship from pedigree can be obtained as:

    pKinatN <- pedIBDatN(Pedig, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder", keep.only=Phen$Indiv)

For pairs of individuals the native kinship can be estimated as:

    pKinatN$of <- pKinatN$Q1/pKinatN$Q2
    pKinatN$of["276000891862786","276000812497659"]

    ## [1] 0.182625

However, the kinship at native alleles between two individuals says nothing about the amount of genetic material the individuals have from native ancesors. It only quantifies how different these native alleles are. Hence, in any case, the native contributions of the individuals should also be considered:

    Pedig[c("276000891862786", "276000812497659"),c("Born","NC")]

    ##                 Born        NC
    ## 276000891862786 2004 0.6164551
    ## 276000812497659 2004 0.6274414

The native contributions of both indivividuals are larger than the mean NC of the phenotyped individuals, which is 0.44. However, their native kinship is larger than the average, which is

    pKinatN$mean

    ## [1] 0.0776925

The correlation between the kinship and the native kinship is high (as expected):

    subKin    <- pKin[Phen$Indiv, Phen$Indiv]
    subNatKin <- pKinatN$of[Phen$Indiv, Phen$Indiv]
    diag(subKin)    <- NA
    diag(subNatKin) <- NA
    cor(c(subKin), c(subNatKin), use="complete.obs")

    ## [1] 0.8916129

The correlation is even higher if only individuals with high native contributions are considered.

### Population Specific Parameters

#### Genetic Diversity

The genetic diversity of a population is the probability that two alleles chosen at random from the population are not IBD. It is one minus the average kinship of the individuals. A simple estimate can be obtained as

    1 - mean(pKin[Phen$Indiv, Phen$Indiv])

    ## [1] 0.9755853

The diversity of this population is high. A high genetic diversity enables to avoid inbreeding and ensures that polygenic traits have a high additive variance, which is required to achieve genetic gain. However, the diversity of this population seems to be extremely high. This could have two reasons:

- The diversity is indeed very high because the individuals are in fact crossbred individuals with genetic contributions from many unrelated breeds, or

- The completeness of the pedigrees is insufficient for such an evaluation.

For this breed it is unclear whether pedigree completeness is low because pedigrees of indivduals from other breeds were cut, or because previously unregistered animals have been registered. Hence, pedigrees of introduced individuals from other breeds should not be cut to reduce this uncertainty.

A parameter which depends not so much on the completeness of the pedigrees is the diversity at native alleles.

#### Kinship and Diversity at Native Alleles

The kinship at native alleles in the population is the probability that two alleles chosen at random from the population are not IBD, given that both alleles originate from native founders. The mean kinship at native alleles is

    pKinatN$mean

    ## [1] 0.0776925

The genetic diversity at native alleles is one minus the kinship at native alleles (named conditional gene diversity in Wellmann, Hartwig, and Bennewitz 2012). Thus, it can be calculated as

    1 - pKinatN$mean

    ## [1] 0.9223075

Note that incomplete pedigrees result in an overestimation of the genetic diversity. This is not the case for the genetic diversity at native alleles because alleles originating from founders born after 1970 were classified to be non-native. Hence, the diversity at alleles originating from these individuals does not affect the estimate.

A high diversity at native alleles is important if a goal of the breeding program is to remove introgressed genetic material from the population. Without maintenance of a high diversity at native alleles, inbreeding coefficients will soon rise to an unreasonable level.

#### Native Effective Size

The native effective size of a population is defined as the size of an idealized random mating population for which the genetic diversity decreases as fast as the diversity at native alleles decreases in the population under study (Wellmann, Hartwig, and Bennewitz 2012). Thus, the native effective size quantifies how fast the diversity at native alleles decreases. In contrast, the effective size quantifies how fast the genetic diversity decreases.

In a population without historic introgression the native effective size (native Ne) is equal to the effective size (Ne) as estimated by Wellmann and Bennewitz (2011). But in a population with historic introgression it can be argued that the effective size is not useful to describe the history of a population because even a small amount of introgression with unrelated individuals prevents a drop of genetic diversity, so the effecive size would be infinite.

For estimating the native effective size, the diversity at native alleles needs to be estimated at various times, and then the native effective size is estimated from the slope of a regression function.

An estimate of the native effective size is automatically provided when the kinship at native alleles is computed and parameter is specified:

    pKinatN  <- pedIBDatN(Pedig, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder", keep.only=Phen$Indiv, nGen=6)

    ## Number of Migrant Founders: 237
    ## Number of Native  Founders: 150
    ## Individuals in Pedigree   : 1658
    ## Native effective size     : 49.5

The native Ne is stored as an attribute of the result:

    attributes(pKinatN)$nativeNe

    ## [1] 49.5

Thus, the diversity at native alleles decreases as fast as in an idealized population consisting of 49.5 individuals.

#### Effective Size

The effective size Ne of a population is the size of an idealized random mating population for which the genetic diversity decreases as fast as in the population under study. It is commonly estimated from the mean rate of increase in coancestry (Cervantes et al. 2011), whereby the increase in coancestry between any pair of individuals \(i\) and \(j\) is computed as \(\Delta c_{ij}=1-\sqrt[\frac{g_i+g_j}{2}]{1-c_{ij}}\), where \(c_{ij}\) is the kinship between \(i\) and \(j\), and \(g_i,g_j\) are the numbers of equivalent complete generations of individuals \(i\) and \(j\). The effective size is then estimated as \(N_e=\frac{1}{2\overline{\Delta c}}\). Thus, the effective size can be estimated as:

    id     <- Summary$Indiv[Summary$equiGen>=4 & Summary$Indiv %in% Phen$Indiv]
    g      <- Summary[id, "equiGen"]
    N      <- length(g)
    n      <- (matrix(g, N, N, byrow=TRUE) + matrix(g, N, N, byrow=FALSE))/2
    deltaC <- 1 - (1-pKin[id,id])^(1/n)
    Ne     <- 1/(2*mean(deltaC))
    Ne

    ## [1] 97.95922

However, the above formula assumes that ancestors are missing at random. In populations with historic introgression, pedigrees of individuals from foreign breeds are often cut, so their parents are not missing at random. In fact, even a small amount of introgression suffices to prevent a decrease of genetic diversity, so that the effective size of such a population is \(\infty\).

#### Change of Native Genome Equivalent and Ne

The native genome equivalent NGE of a population is the minimum number of founders that would be needed to create a population consisting of unrelated individuals that has the same diversity at native alleles as the population under study (Wellmann, Hartwig, and Bennewitz 2012). It is assumed that the individuals were unrelated in base year `base`, which could be well before pedigree recording had started. Between the base year and the year `lastNative` in which the last native founder was born, the population had a historical effective size of `histNe`. This assumption implies that the founders of the pedigree were related due to ancestors whose pedigrees had not been recorded.

The decrease of native genome equivalents is estimated below for the time since `lastNative=1970` by assuming that individuals were unrelated in year `base=1800` and that the historical effective size was `histNe=150` between 1800 and 1970. Since the computation for the full pedigree could take some time, the parameters are estimated below from a subset of the pedigree, which are the individuals included in vector `keep`. Vector `keep` contains from each birth cohort 50 randomly sampled Hinterwald cattle.

    data("PedigWithErrors")
    Pedig <- prePed(PedigWithErrors, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder", lastNative=1970)
    set.seed(0)
    keep <- sampleIndiv(Pedig[Pedig$Breed=="Hinterwaelder",], from="Born", each=50)
    cand <- candes(phen   = Pedig[keep,],
                   pKin   = pedIBD(Pedig, keep.only=keep),
                   pKinatN= pedIBDatN(Pedig, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder", keep.only=keep),
                   quiet=TRUE, reduce.data=FALSE)

    sy <- summary(cand, tlim=c(1970, 2000), histNe=150, base=1800, df=4)

    ##
    ##         t    I  pKin pKinatN   Ne  NGE
    ## 1970 1970 5.48 0.004   0.005 58.1 5.08
    ## 1971 1971 5.46 0.004   0.006 58.2 5.03
    ## 1972 1972 5.44 0.005   0.007 58.0 4.96
    ## 1973 1973 5.42 0.005   0.008 57.6 4.91
    ## 1974 1974 5.40 0.006   0.010 57.0 4.83
    ## 1975 1975 5.38 0.007   0.013 56.1 4.72
    ## 1976 1976 5.36 0.007   0.014 54.9 4.67
    ## 1977 1977 5.34 0.008   0.015 53.3 4.62
    ## 1978 1978 5.32 0.009   0.016 51.2 4.59
    ## 1979 1979 5.30 0.010   0.018 48.8 4.51
    ## 1980 1980 5.28 0.011   0.020 46.3 4.45
    ## 1981 1981 5.26 0.011   0.021 43.8 4.41
    ## 1982 1982 5.24 0.012   0.022 41.5 4.36
    ## 1983 1983 5.22 0.012   0.024 39.5 4.29
    ## 1984 1984 5.21 0.013   0.027 38.0 4.20
    ## 1985 1985 5.19 0.014   0.030 37.2 4.11
    ## 1986 1986 5.18 0.016   0.034 37.0 4.00
    ## 1987 1987 5.17 0.017   0.039 37.8 3.87
    ## 1988 1988 5.16 0.018   0.042 39.4 3.79
    ## 1989 1989 5.15 0.018   0.044 42.0 3.71
    ## 1990 1990 5.15 0.018   0.047 45.6 3.65
    ## 1991 1991 5.15 0.018   0.048 50.2 3.62
    ## 1992 1992 5.15 0.018   0.049 55.9 3.60
    ## 1993 1993 5.15 0.019   0.051 62.5 3.56
    ## 1994 1994 5.16 0.020   0.052 69.5 3.54
    ## 1995 1995 5.16 0.018   0.052 76.3 3.54
    ## 1996 1996 5.18 0.017   0.051 81.9 3.55
    ## 1997 1997 5.19 0.016   0.052 85.6 3.53
    ## 1998 1998 5.20 0.015   0.054 87.6 3.49
    ## 1999 1999 5.22 0.013   0.055 88.2 3.47
    ## 2000 2000 5.24 0.012   0.056 87.9 3.44

    ggplot(sy, aes(x=t, y=Ne)) + geom_line() + ylim(c(0,100))
    ggplot(sy, aes(x=t, y=NGE)) + geom_line() + ylim(c(0,7))

Not only the native genome equivalents (column `NGE`), but also the native effective size (column `Ne`), the mean kinship (column `pKin`), the mean kinship at native alleles `pKinatN`, and the generation interval (column `I`) have been estimated for all birth cohorts `t`.

It is possible that the diversity at native alleles increases for a short period of time, in which case the estimate of the native effective size would be `NA`. Choose `df<4` to get a smooth estimate for the native effective size.

#### Change of Breed Composition

For monitoring the introgression from other breeds, the contributions of foreign breeds to all birth cohorts can be estimated with function conttac and then plotted, e.g. with function ggplot.

    use  <- Pedig$Breed=="Hinterwaelder" & Pedig$Born %in% (1950:1995)
    cont <- pedBreedComp(Pedig, thisBreed="Hinterwaelder")
    contByYear <- conttac(cont, cohort=Pedig$Born, use=use, mincont = 0.01)
    ggplot(contByYear, aes(x=Year, y=Contribution, fill=Breed)) + geom_area(color="black")

### References

Cervantes, I., F. Goyache, A. Molina, M. Valera, and J. P. Guitérrez. 2011. “Estimation of Effective Population Size from the Rate of Coancestry in Pedigreed Populations.” Animal Breeding and Genetics 128.

Wellmann, R., and J. Bennewitz. 2011. “Identification and Characterization of Hierarchical Structures in Dog Breeding Schemes, a Novel Method Applied to the Norfolk Terrier.” Journal of Animal Science 89: 3846–58.

Wellmann, R., S. Hartwig, and J. Bennewitz. 2012. “Optimum Contribution Selection for Conserved Populations with Historic Migration; with Application to Rare Cattle Breeds.” Genetics Selection Evolution 44 (34).